Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mia Pohánková v Xiyu Wang

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 12:47 UTC

Final: Mia Pohánková 2–1 Xiyu Wang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mia Pohánková (Local)

Prediction 31.64%3.16fair odd
EV +0.607%
Edge +0.191%
Kelly +0.279%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.20%31.64%31.51%33.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.942.953.1837.04%34.06%33.90%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xiyu Wang (Visit)

Prediction 68.36%1.46fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%68.36%68.49%69.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4375.19%71.77%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mia Pohánková (Local): 31.64%; Xiyu Wang (Visit): 68.36%. For Mia Pohánková (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.607%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +0.607%E +0.191%K +0.279%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-13 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -1.29%E -0.414%K -0.609%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 12:35
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.92%E -0.621%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 12:34
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.92%E -0.621%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 12:35
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.92%E -0.621%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-13 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 12:34
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 12:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.51%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 12:29
ReBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -3.82%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.14%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-13 11:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.14%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-13 12:00
Coolbet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.14%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.98%E -3.58%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 12:24
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 12:24
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 12:35
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 11:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 12:34
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 11:45
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.08%E -6.83%K -27.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-13 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.08%E -6.83%K -27.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-13 11:45
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -5.72%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -3.61%E -2.56%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-13 11:19
SportsBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.72%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 11:20
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -6.35%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 11:55
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-13 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.71%E -5.71%K -22.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-13 11:50
DraftKings🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -7.62%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -2.93%E -2.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -7.62%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-13 11:49
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.25%E -2.85%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 11:59
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.25%E -2.85%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 11:50
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.25%E -2.85%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.66%E -4.10%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-13 12:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-13 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.29%E -3.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-13 11:20
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:10
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.24%E -1.57%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -8.39%E -6.26%K -24.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-13 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -11.41%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -8.39%E -6.26%K -24.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-13 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -14.58%E -5.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -7.03%E -5.17%K -19.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-13 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-10-13 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-10-13 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-10-13 12:30
ProphetX◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-10-13 12:35
Novig◎3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%2.0%2026-10-13 12:30
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%2.7%2026-10-13 12:30