Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.42
assuming max odds 1.42
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mia Pohánková (Local): 31.73%; Maria Sakkari (Visit): 68.27%. For Mia Pohánková (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.51%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV +8.51%E +2.49%K +3.52%G +0.299% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -9.88%E -7.49%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 05:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.53%E +0.478%K +0.695%G +0.011% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 05:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -3.05%E -2.15%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-15 05:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.33%E -0.427%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.47%E -4.72%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 05:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.64%E -0.530%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 05:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.05%E -2.15%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-15 04:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 05:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -3.87%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.10%E -3.67%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-15 05:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.18%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 06:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.05%E -2.15%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-15 03:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.05%E -2.15%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-15 03:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 06:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 05:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 05:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 05:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 05:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-15 05:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 21:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 21:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.83%E -5.80%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-15 04:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.83%E -5.80%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-15 04:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 05:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 04:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 05:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 04:55 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 04:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-15 05:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 05:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 05:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-14 21:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-14 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-15 04:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-15 05:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -8.52%E -6.35%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-14 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-14 12:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-10-15 06:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-10-15 06:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-10-15 06:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-10-15 05:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09% | 1.9% | 2026-10-15 06:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 2.7% | 2026-10-15 06:05 |