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Marie Bouzkova v Maja Chwalinska
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marie Bouzkova (Local)
Prediction 65.30%1.53fair odd
EV -0.087%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.165%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%65.08%65.43%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.461.5372.46%68.31%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maja Chwalinska (Visit)
Prediction 34.70%2.88fair odd
EV -0.418%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.92%34.57%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.682.662.8740.82%37.34%37.66%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 65.30%; Maja Chwalinska (Visit): 34.70%. For Marie Bouzkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.531. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.530, with an expected value of -0.087%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.087%E -0.057%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.087%E -0.057%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-13 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -1.39%E -0.923%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -9.09%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-13 19:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.05%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-13 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -2.05%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -9.44%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.05%E -1.36%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.70%E -1.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.75%E -3.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.79%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.35%E -2.27%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.79%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 11:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -0.765%E -0.267%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-13 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-14 02:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.59%EV -7.70%E -2.90%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.01%E -2.72%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.05%E -3.04%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -1.46%E -0.514%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -1.46%E -0.514%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.89%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-14 02:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 13:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.66%E -3.19%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.85%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.54%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.93%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.31%E -3.66%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 11:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.58%E -1.67%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.09%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 11:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.09%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-13 11:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.79%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 22:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.96%E -4.14%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.79%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 22:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -0.418%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 02:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -6.62%E -4.63%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -13.26%E -5.30%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-13 10:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.27%E -5.12%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-13 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.58%E -6.13%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.58%E -6.13%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.32%E -2.34%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.97%EV -9.88%E -7.16%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -14.99%E -6.12%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |