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Maria Sakkari v Donna Vekic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 60.83%1.64fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.94%60.81%64.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.571.571.6268.97%63.83%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Donna Vekic (Visit)
Prediction 39.17%2.55fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.704%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%39.06%39.19%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.382.6045.45%41.91%42.02%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 60.83%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 39.17%. For Donna Vekic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +1.83%E +0.704%K +1.14%G +0.021% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 07:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.79%E -8.13%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.83%E +0.704%K +1.14%G +0.021% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 07:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.127%E -0.050%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.32%E -4.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.69%E -0.675%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 07:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 07:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 07:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 07:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 07:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 07:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.09%E -0.834%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 07:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.27%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.48%E -0.995%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 04:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.87%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 05:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.87%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 05:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 07:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 06:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.44%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 07:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.22%E -2.16%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 07:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 05:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 05:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 04:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 04:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 05:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -6.39%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 07:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 21:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 21:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 07:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.92%E -4.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 05:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 06:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -11.18%E -7.66%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-12 07:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.45%E -0.894%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 04:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 05:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 05:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 05:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 05:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.92%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 07:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 07:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-10-12 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-10-12 07:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-10-12 07:20 |