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Mananchaya Sawangkaew v Magdalena Frech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local)
Prediction 41.90%2.39fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.916%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.91%41.86%45.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.232.4447.62%44.54%44.84%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visit)
Prediction 58.10%1.72fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.629%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.92%58.09%58.14%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.7463.69%60.91%60.61%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local): 41.90%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 58.10%. For Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +2.24%E +0.916%K +1.55%G +0.035% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 06:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.54%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.54%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.54%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 06:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.54%E -0.653%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 06:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 06:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 06:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 06:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 06:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 06:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 06:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.63%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 06:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.05%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.89%E -2.15%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.73%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.55%E -2.14%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.98%E -3.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.39%E -1.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.98%E -3.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.40%E -3.35%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.39%E -1.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.39%E -1.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.39%E -1.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.39%E -1.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.82%E -3.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.13%E -2.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 20:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 20:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -11.17%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +1.09%E +0.629%K +1.48%G +0.016% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.55%EV -11.17%E -5.27%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.45%EV -8.78%E -5.59%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-12 06:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.01%E -5.72%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 06:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31% | 2.1% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.3% | 2026-10-12 06:15 |