The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Maja Chwalinska v Maria Sakkari

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 07:33 UTC

Final: Maja Chwalinska 2–1 Maria Sakkari

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV +2.98%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +2.38%
Growth +0.071%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%45.65%45.83%47.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.062.062.2551.81%48.49%48.54%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Sakkari (Visit)

Prediction 54.23%1.84fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.45%54.35%54.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.751.751.8061.73%57.30%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 45.77%; Maria Sakkari (Visit): 54.23%. For Maja Chwalinska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +2.98%E +1.32%K +2.38%G +0.071%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -12.14%E -7.50%K -19.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:04
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-16 06:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 07:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 07:30
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 07:30
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 07:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.43%E -1.63%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 06:45
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 21:10
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 16:59
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 03:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 12:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 15:25
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 05:20
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 07:30
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 07:30
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 07:30
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 21:10
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 07:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 19:15
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:30
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:34
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:30
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:30
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:30
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:35
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-16 07:29
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 07:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 05:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 13:10
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 13:10
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 13:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 07:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 07:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 07:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 07:30
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 07:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 06:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 21:10
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 07:10
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 07:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -12.14%E -7.50%K -19.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-16 07:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.30%E -5.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 20:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.67%E -6.05%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 05:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-10-16 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-10-16 07:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-10-16 07:30
ProphetX◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-10-16 07:30
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-10-16 07:30
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-10-16 07:30