The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Leylah Fernandez v Jelena Ostapenko

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 07:34 UTC

Final: Leylah Fernandez 1–2 Jelena Ostapenko

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%55.11%55.08%57.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7660.98%58.46%58.48%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.673%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.35%44.89%44.92%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.122.2651.28%47.32%47.17%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 55.08%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 44.92%. For Jelena Ostapenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -8.57%E -5.16%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV +1.52%E +0.673%K +1.21%G +0.018%4.5%2026-10-15 07:15
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.57%E -5.16%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +0.174%E +0.078%K +0.142%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 07:15
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.02%E -4.80%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.17%E -0.533%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 07:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.02%E -4.80%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.17%E -0.533%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 07:15
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.62%E -0.741%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-15 05:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 01:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-14 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 06:15
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 01:09
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 07:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 02:39
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.42%E -1.59%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 07:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:39
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:40
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:40
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:40
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:39
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:39
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:40
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -3.87%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 07:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 07:20
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 00:49
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.77%E -2.25%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 06:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.22%E -2.47%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.22%E -2.47%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 00:49
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 22:49
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 05:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-14 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 05:15
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 00:54
picklebet_au🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 06:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-14 22:08
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.82%E -3.40%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-14 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 07:15
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.57%E -5.16%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 07:15
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.06%E -1.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.56%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 07:10
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-14 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-14 22:50
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 07:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 07:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 07:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 07:20
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 07:19
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 07:18
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.37%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.47%E -4.44%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 06:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -9.67%E -5.90%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 02:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.47%E -4.44%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 07:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.61%E -2.06%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 07:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-10-15 07:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-10-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-10-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-10-15 07:05
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-10-15 07:20
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-10-15 07:20