Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kimberly Birrell v Katie Volynets

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 03:02 UTC

Final: Kimberly Birrell 1–2 Katie Volynets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kimberly Birrell (Local)

Prediction 37.22%2.69fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -0.828%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.96%37.30%37.19%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.552.6542.55%39.46%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katie Volynets (Visit)

Prediction 62.78%1.59fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%62.70%62.81%64.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5569.44%66.36%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kimberly Birrell (Local): 37.22%; Katie Volynets (Visit): 62.78%. For Kimberly Birrell (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.37%E -0.516%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 02:09
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.48%E -0.948%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-13 01:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.32%E -2.16%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-13 00:49
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 02:09
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 01:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 02:54
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 02:09
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 01:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 02:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 02:55
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 02:54
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 02:54
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.23%E -1.24%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.34%E -5.71%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 02:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -2.69%E -1.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-13 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -2.69%E -1.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-13 02:49
DraftKings🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 00:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 02:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 02:04
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 00:49
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 00:50
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 01:09
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.45%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 00:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-13 02:50
ReBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.46%E -2.15%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 02:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.83%E -2.31%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 00:50
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.58%E -2.62%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.32%E -2.16%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 02:48
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 06:09
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 02:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 00:50
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 02:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.95%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.71%E -5.25%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 16:15
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.81%E -3.60%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.21%EV -9.55%E -3.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.79%EV -9.60%E -6.66%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-13 00:49
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-13 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 16:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 16:14
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.67%E -4.45%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.83%E -3.89%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-13 00:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.69%E -1.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:19
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.69%E -1.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.34%E -5.71%K -18.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-13 00:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-10-13 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-10-13 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-10-13 02:34
ProphetX◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-10-13 02:55
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-10-13 02:54
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.3%2026-10-13 02:55