Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Boulter v Diana Shnaider

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 06:29 UTC

Final: Katie Boulter 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Boulter (Local)

Prediction 22.61%4.42fair odd
EV +0.618%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.38%22.81%22.51%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.4527.78%24.86%25.00%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visit)

Prediction 77.39%1.29fair odd
EV -0.942%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.77%77.19%77.49%78.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.241.2882.64%80.62%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 22.61%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 77.39%. For Katie Boulter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.618%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +0.618%E +0.139%K +0.179%G +0.001%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.36%E -5.26%K -30.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 04:19
Pinnacle🎯4.37I 22.88%NM 22.24%EV -1.19%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.76%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-13 03:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -1.64%E -0.378%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.36%E -5.26%K -30.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 06:24
1xBet🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -1.87%E -0.431%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 06:25
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.10%E -0.484%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 06:25
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.77%E -0.645%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-13 04:15
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.77%E -0.645%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-13 06:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.45%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.04%E -3.26%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 06:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.45%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.04%E -3.26%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 06:25
DraftKings🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -3.45%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-13 06:25
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.90%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.04%E -3.26%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 06:25
BetAnything🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.90%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 06:24
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.90%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 05:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.90%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 05:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-13 04:15
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.81%E -3.91%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 06:24
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 06:24
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 06:24
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 08:34
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 06:25
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.04%E -3.26%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 04:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.04%E -3.26%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 04:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.04%E -3.26%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 04:14
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.36%E -5.26%K -30.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 05:59
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.43%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 06:25
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 05:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 05:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 05:54
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-13 05:54
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.04%E -3.26%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 03:19
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.04%E -3.26%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-13 04:19
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.26%E -2.61%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 17:33
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:16
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.95%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.49%E -1.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:14
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -14.08%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.04%E -3.26%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -1.72%E -1.35%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 23:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 17:34
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.59%E -4.58%K -25.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -6.36%E -5.26%K -30.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-13 05:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.60%E -5.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.942%E -0.736%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 17:34
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -18.60%E -5.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -0.942%E -0.736%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -18.60%E -5.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -6.36%E -5.26%K -30.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-10-13 06:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-10-13 06:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-10-13 06:00
ProphetX◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-10-13 06:25
Novig◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.67%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.33%1.7%2026-10-13 06:24
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%3.2%2026-10-13 06:25