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Katerina Siniakova v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katerina Siniakova (Local)
Prediction 47.78%2.09fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.24%47.90%47.77%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.992.0253.48%50.56%50.25%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 52.22%1.91fair odd
EV +0.263%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.286%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%52.10%52.23%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.801.9258.14%55.11%55.56%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 47.78%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 52.22%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.263%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV +0.263%E +0.137%K +0.286%G +0.001% | 2.8% | 2026-10-13 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.259%E -0.136%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -0.781%E -0.411%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 02:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.83%E -0.971%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 02:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.83%E -0.971%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 02:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.39%E -1.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.39%E -1.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.39%E -1.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 22:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.39%E -1.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 02:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.91%E -2.13%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.42%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-13 02:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.42%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-13 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.42%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-13 03:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.44%E -2.42%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 02:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.44%E -2.42%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 22:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.44%E -2.42%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 01:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.44%E -2.42%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 14:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.44%E -2.42%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-13 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.96%E -2.72%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 02:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.96%E -2.72%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.96%E -2.72%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.96%E -2.72%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.40%E -2.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.96%E -2.72%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 03:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.40%E -2.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.96%E -2.72%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 12:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.96%E -2.72%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-12 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.96%E -2.72%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-12 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.40%E -2.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.48%E -3.03%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 03:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.48%E -3.03%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 03:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:58 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 03:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 03:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 08:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 02:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 09:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-12 22:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-12 22:12 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-12 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.00%E -3.34%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-12 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -3.96%E -1.97%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 03:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.57%E -4.28%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 03:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -8.09%E -4.60%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 02:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -10.17%E -5.41%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -9.66%E -5.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-12 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.18%E -5.92%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -7.79%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -10.18%E -5.92%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.62% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.38% | 0.3% | 2026-10-13 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 03:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-10-13 03:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 2.6% | 2026-10-13 03:00 |