Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.03
assuming max odds 1.92
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 49.01%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 50.99%. For Karolina Muchova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -0.513%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.513%E -0.253%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.14%E -2.20%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.00%E -0.497%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.20%E -3.95%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.98%E -0.992%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.98%E -0.992%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.21%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.98%E -0.992%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.74%E -5.51%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.96%E -1.50%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.21%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.96%E -1.50%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.21%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -2.96%E -1.50%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.74%E -5.51%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.45%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.45%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.45%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.18%E -3.36%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.65%E -2.48%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.65%E -2.48%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 03:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.65%E -2.48%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.65%E -2.48%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.67%E -3.06%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 02:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.67%E -3.06%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 02:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.76%E -6.15%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.76%E -6.15%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.92%E -2.54%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.10%E -1.09%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-14 19:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.41%E -2.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.61%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-15 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.41%E -2.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.67%E -3.06%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.41%E -2.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.18%E -3.36%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.61%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 02:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.61%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 19:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.61%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.21%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.21%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 02:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.65%E -2.48%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.21%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.10%E -1.09%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 22:09 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 02:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.20%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%EV -10.76%E -6.15%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 02:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.84%E -4.76%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -11.29%E -6.24%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-14 20:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-15 02:47 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.12%E -1.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 20:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-10-15 03:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55% | 2.3% | 2026-10-15 03:05 |