Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Janice Tjen v Oleksandra Oliynykova

Kickoff: 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Prediction 71.99%1.39fair odd

EV -2.10%

Edge -1.54%

Kelly -5.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.84%71.86%72.15%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.261.311.321.3679.37%76.19%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visit)

Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd

EV +1.40%

Edge +0.388%

Kelly +0.536%

Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.23%28.14%27.85%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.373.403.6232.26%29.72%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Janice Tjen (Local): 71.99%; Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visit): 28.01%. For Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%EV +1.40%E +0.388%K +0.536%G +0.008%	3.4%	2026-10-11 08:01
PlayUp🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.86%E -6.14%K -28.06%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +0.844%E +0.234%K +0.325%G +0.003%	5.9%	2026-10-11 08:01
Betsson🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.70%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.96%E -0.559%K -0.783%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-11 08:00
NordicBet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.70%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.96%E -0.559%K -0.783%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-11 08:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.42%E -4.94%K -21.39%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.96%E -0.559%K -0.783%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-11 09:30
Coolbet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-11 08:10
Bovada🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.90%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-11 10:09
Unibet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:50
Casumo🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:50
BetRivers🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:50
Grosvenor🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:50
TABtouch🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:51
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:51
Virgin Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:51
ATG (SE)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:50
betPARX🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 23:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-11 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.98%E -3.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-11 11:55
Fanatics🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.70%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-11 09:05
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.70%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-11 08:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.70%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-10 23:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.14%E -5.53%K -24.61%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-10 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.70%E -4.35%K -18.37%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-11 09:00
ReBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.02%EV -7.14%E -5.53%K -24.61%G +0.000%	3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -7.00%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-11 08:00
888sport🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.26%E -3.20%K -12.90%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-11 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.86%E -6.14%K -28.06%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-10-11 08:15
Coral🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.86%E -6.14%K -28.06%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-10-11 08:15
DraftKings🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.78%EV -2.82%E -2.09%K -8.05%G +0.000%	3.27I 30.58%NM 29.22%EV -8.40%E -2.57%K -3.70%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-10 23:54
betano_uk🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.14%E -5.53%K -24.61%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-11 10:28
Bet Victor🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.14%E -5.53%K -24.61%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-11 10:32
Betway🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.82%E -2.09%K -8.05%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 09:39
PMU (FR)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -8.58%E -6.75%K -31.76%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-10 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -2.82%E -2.09%K -8.05%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -10.92%E -3.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-11 09:51
1xBet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.10%E -1.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -9.30%E -7.38%K -35.75%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-10-11 08:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%	2.0%	2026-10-11 09:39
Smarkets◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%	3.2%	2026-10-11 08:01