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Guo Hanyu v Sorana Cirstea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Guo Hanyu (Local)
Prediction 14.56%6.87fair odd
EV +7.75%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 7.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.94%14.56%14.59%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.346.407.4018.87%15.76%15.63%13.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visit)
Prediction 85.44%1.17fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -26.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.94%85.44%85.41%87.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1393.46%89.78%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guo Hanyu (Local): 14.56%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 85.44%. For Guo Hanyu (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.87. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +7.75%E +1.05%K +1.21%G +0.094% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-12 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +3.81%E +0.535%K +0.622%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 00:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV +3.81%E +0.535%K +0.622%G +0.024% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 00:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.92%E +0.275%K +0.320%G +0.006% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-12 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.92%E +0.275%K +0.320%G +0.006% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.92%E +0.275%K +0.320%G +0.006% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 08:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.92%E +0.275%K +0.320%G +0.006% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -1.72%E -0.255%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.45%E -0.365%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.58%E -8.02%K -122.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-12 21:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.90%E -0.591%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 03:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -3.90%E -0.591%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-13 05:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 04:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 02:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 00:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 00:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 12:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 04:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 05:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 05:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 05:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.36%E -0.824%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 05:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 05:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.25%EV -8.56%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.75%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-13 05:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.00%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.73%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.73%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.54%EV -10.60%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.46%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 05:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.18%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 05:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 03:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 20:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.64%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -19.92%E -3.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-12 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -22.83%E -4.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.94%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-13 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 05:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 05:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 05:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.15% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.85% | 1.6% | 2026-10-13 05:25 |
| Novig◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24% | 2.1% | 2026-10-13 05:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 05:15 |