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Elina Svitolina v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Prediction 70.66%1.42fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.13%70.56%70.65%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.351.4078.13%74.37%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 29.34%3.41fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +0.768%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%29.44%29.35%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.203.253.5035.09%31.25%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 70.66%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 29.34%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.69%E +0.768%K +1.08%G +0.029% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.32%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.22%E +0.354%K +0.499%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV +0.048%E +0.014%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -1.42%E -0.422%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.71%E -0.511%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-14 02:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.32%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.71%E -0.511%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -5.32%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -2.30%E -0.690%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.18%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 22:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.18%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 02:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:26 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 22:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -5.32%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.32%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -5.53%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 02:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 02:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.32%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 02:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-13 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.41%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 02:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 02:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 02:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 02:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 02:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 02:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-13 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.32%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 02:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -8.85%E -6.86%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.51%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-13 06:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.08%E -0.768%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 13:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 13:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-13 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.45%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-13 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.45%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-13 11:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.01%EV -9.55%E -7.46%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.99%EV -16.38%E -5.75%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-10-14 02:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |