The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Elina Svitolina v Guo Hanyu

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 05:16 UTC

Final: Elina Svitolina 2–0 Guo Hanyu

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prediction 85.48%1.17fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -26.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.10%85.56%85.46%87.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.101.101.1396.15%90.65%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Guo Hanyu (Visit)

Prediction 14.52%6.89fair odd
EV +8.91%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.122%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%14.44%14.54%17.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.696.617.5020.00%14.95%15.13%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 85.48%; Guo Hanyu (Visit): 14.52%. For Guo Hanyu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%4.2%2026-10-15 04:55
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:34
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +8.91%E +1.19%K +1.37%G +0.122%5.1%2026-10-15 02:35
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +7.46%E +1.01%K +1.17%G +0.087%4.4%2026-10-15 00:45
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005%4.4%2026-10-15 04:39
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005%5.2%2026-10-15 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005%5.2%2026-10-15 00:39
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +1.65%E +0.236%K +0.276%G +0.005%6.0%2026-10-15 04:55
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.01%EV -3.41%E -3.02%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.99%EV +0.927%E +0.133%K +0.156%G +0.001%2.9%2026-10-15 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV +0.927%E +0.133%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.5%2026-10-15 03:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 86.65%EV -11.10%E -10.68%K -277.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -1.98%E -0.293%K -0.344%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-15 02:40
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -2.70%E -0.403%K -0.474%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 04:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.54%E -7.98%K -121.98%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.70%E -0.403%K -0.474%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 04:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.81%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.19%EV -3.43%E -0.516%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 05:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.01%E -0.607%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 04:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.01%E -0.607%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 04:35
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.16%E -0.630%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 04:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.61%E -0.863%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 04:40
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.61%E -0.863%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 04:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.61%E -0.863%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 04:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.61%E -0.863%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 00:39
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.61%E -0.863%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 03:50
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.33%E -0.982%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 04:35
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.06%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 04:35
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.06%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 04:35
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -8.51%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 04:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.24%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 04:35
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.24%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 04:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.96%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 05:05
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 04:35
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 04:35
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 03:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 04:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 04:35
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 04:00
picklebet_au🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 04:40
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 02:38
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 02:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 04:35
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.87%E -2.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 04:55
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.50%E -2.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.50%E -2.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 04:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.10%EV -6.83%E -6.27%K -75.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -27.39%E -5.48%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 05:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96%7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04%0.3%2026-10-15 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-10-15 05:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-10-15 05:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-10-15 05:05
Novig◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-10-15 05:05
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%2.8%2026-10-15 05:05