Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Ekaterina Alexandrova v Leylah Fernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)
Prediction 53.63%1.86fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.92%53.63%53.63%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.781.8359.88%56.37%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visit)
Prediction 46.37%2.16fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +2.78%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%46.37%46.37%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.022.002.2352.91%49.54%50.00%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 53.63%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 46.37%. For Leylah Fernandez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -10.44%E -6.25%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +3.41%E +1.53%K +2.78%G +0.095% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 02:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.69%E -0.796%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-12 02:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 02:48 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.23%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.62%E -1.25%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -7.76%E -4.51%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -3.08%E -1.47%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 03:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.55%E -2.55%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.54%E -1.70%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 02:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.55%E -2.55%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.47%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 02:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.55%E -2.55%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.47%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 22:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.47%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 02:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.30%E -4.85%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.47%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 02:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 21:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.55%E -2.55%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.62%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 01:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 03:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 03:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 01:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.84%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.84%E -5.20%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.94%E -1.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.94%E -1.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.55%E -2.55%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.33%E -3.13%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 02:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.33%E -3.13%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-12 03:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 02:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-12 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-12 03:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.23%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 02:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.23%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 02:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.23%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.23%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 03:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.23%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.23%E -4.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 18:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.18%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.18%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.18%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.55%E -2.55%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.18%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 01:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.55%E -2.55%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.18%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 01:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -8.30%E -4.85%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -8.18%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:53 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 18:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -12.35%E -6.54%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-10-12 03:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 2.7% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |