Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry v Anna Kalinskaya

Kickoff: 2026-10-12 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

36%

64%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry (Local)

Prediction 36.32%2.75fair odd

EV -0.116%

Edge -0.042%

Kelly -0.066%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.05%36.29%36.59%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.572.552.7541.67%38.94%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)

Prediction 63.68%1.57fair odd

EV -1.94%

Edge -1.26%

Kelly -3.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.54%63.71%63.41%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.401.491.501.5471.43%67.24%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diane Parry (Local): 36.32%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 63.68%. For Diane Parry (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.753. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.750, with an expected value of -0.116%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.116%E -0.042%K -0.066%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 09:25
theScore Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.116%E -0.042%K -0.066%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.58%E -6.74%K -22.80%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-10 23:15
Betsson🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.93%E -0.716%K -1.14%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 08:45
Coolbet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.93%E -0.716%K -1.14%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 08:40
NordicBet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.93%E -0.716%K -1.14%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 08:45
Betr (AU)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.93%E -0.716%K -1.14%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.67%E -5.29%K -17.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-11 09:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.02%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.39%E -4.35%K -13.60%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-11 08:40
Bovada🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.75%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-10-11 10:09
ReBet🎯	2.61I 38.31%NM 35.56%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.44%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-11 08:45
DraftKings🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-11 09:49
Betway🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 09:54
BetMGM🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.76%E -3.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-11 08:40
Pinnacle🎯	2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -5.93%E -2.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -1.94%E -1.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-11 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -6.65%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-11 09:58
1xBet🎯	2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -7.02%E -2.74%K -4.50%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -3.85%E -2.55%K -7.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 10:04
Unibet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
Casumo🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
BetRivers🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
Grosvenor🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
TABtouch🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:40
betPARX🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
Svenska Spel🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
Bally Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 11:55
888sport🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.57%E -1.68%K -4.85%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-11 10:19
PlayUp🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.21%E -2.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-11 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-11 08:40
Coral🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.20%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.30%E -5.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-11 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -8.94%E -6.25%K -20.79%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-10-11 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.01%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -10.85%E -7.75%K -27.13%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-11 08:45
betano_uk🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.83%E -5.35%K -9.16%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-11 13:13
Bet Victor🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.83%E -5.35%K -9.16%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.48%E -2.99%K -8.96%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-11 13:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%	2.8%	2026-10-11 08:55
ProphetX◎	2.42I 41.32%NM 32.59%	1.17I 85.47%NM 67.41%	26.8%	2026-10-11 13:15