The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Diana Shnaider v Jelena Ostapenko

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 03:05 UTC

Final: Diana Shnaider 0–2 Jelena Ostapenko

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prediction 66.25%1.51fair odd
EV -0.629%
Edge -0.419%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.77%66.23%66.24%68.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.421.5075.19%70.52%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)

Prediction 33.75%2.96fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.966%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%33.77%33.76%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.803.0538.46%35.34%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diana Shnaider (Local): 66.25%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 33.75%. For Jelena Ostapenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.95%E +0.966%K +1.44%G +0.042%5.3%2026-10-15 20:30
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.26%E +0.419%K +0.629%G +0.008%3.8%2026-10-15 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.12%E -0.730%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 03:04
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.62%E -1.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -2.46%E -0.850%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-16 02:55
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.79%E -0.970%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 03:04
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.79%E -0.970%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 03:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.79%E -0.970%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 03:04
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 02:45
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.27%E -3.68%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.14%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 02:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.14%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 02:25
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.14%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 02:25
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.14%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 02:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -7.92%E -5.69%K -20.30%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -4.48%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 03:04
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.16%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 02:55
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.16%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 03:00
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 03:04
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 03:04
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 02:55
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.27%E -3.68%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 03:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 02:45
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 02:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 02:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 03:04
picklebet_au🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 02:05
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 23:44
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 23:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 03:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 01:40
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 02:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.90%E -7.28%K -27.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-16 03:04
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 03:00
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 03:00
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 02:25
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 03:03
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.25%E -5.18%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 02:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -11.89%E -8.94%K -36.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-16 02:49
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.94%E -2.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 02:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -8.58%E -6.22%K -22.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-16 02:00
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.629%E -0.419%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.89%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 02:59
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.60%E -3.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 03:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -9.24%E -6.75%K -24.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -12.24%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-16 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-10-16 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-10-16 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-10-16 03:00
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-10-16 02:55
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-16 03:00
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-10-16 03:00