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Daria Snigur v Elise Mertens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daria Snigur (Local)
Prediction 34.50%2.90fair odd
EV +0.731%
Edge +0.250%
Kelly +0.381%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.53%34.57%34.37%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.702.9240.00%36.71%37.04%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visit)
Prediction 65.50%1.53fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.43%65.63%67.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.451.451.5074.07%68.97%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Snigur (Local): 34.50%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 65.50%. For Daria Snigur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.731%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.731%E +0.250%K +0.381%G +0.003% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.731%E +0.250%K +0.381%G +0.003% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 02:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%EV -0.649%E -0.225%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-13 06:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 06:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 06:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 06:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.33%E -4.43%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 06:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.99%E -4.92%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 08:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -11.57%E -8.57%K -33.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-13 06:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.10%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 07:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.40%E -1.61%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 08:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 08:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 07:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 00:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 06:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.30%E -5.93%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-13 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.30%E -5.93%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-13 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.48%E -2.00%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 08:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.02%E -3.46%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 00:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.30%E -5.93%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.20%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 06:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.75%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-13 08:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.71%E -2.52%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.75%E -1.16%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -3.06%E -2.06%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-13 08:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.68%E -3.94%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 00:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -12.03%E -4.72%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.64%E -5.42%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 07:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.30%E -5.93%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-13 08:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-10-13 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 08:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 1.1% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-10-13 08:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.3% | 2026-10-13 08:10 |