Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Snigur v Elise Mertens

2026-10-12 02:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Snigur (Local)

Prediction 31.77%3.15fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.492%
Kelly -0.726%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%31.87%31.66%33.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.1037.04%33.49%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elise Mertens (Visit)

Prediction 68.23%1.47fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.12%68.13%68.34%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4475.76%72.89%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daria Snigur (Local): 31.77%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 68.23%. For Daria Snigur (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -1.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.52%E -4.76%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.52%E -4.76%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.52%E -4.76%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:15
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:16
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:15
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:15
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:16
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.52%E -0.492%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.84%E -4.23%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 00:15
Coolbet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -3.75%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.16%E -3.71%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 23:16
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 23:16
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 23:16
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.84%E -4.23%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:15
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.84%E -4.23%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.84%E -4.23%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 23:16
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.84%E -4.23%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 00:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.93%E -7.52%K -31.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 23:15
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.79%E -2.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 23:14
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 23:16
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.84%E -4.23%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 23:15
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 23:16
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.51%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 23:15
DraftKings🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -10.74%E -3.82%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -1.74%E -1.21%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 23:15
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 23:15
ReBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.93%EV -12.01%E -4.33%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.07%EV -7.20%E -5.30%K -20.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -8.57%E -6.39%K -25.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 33.17%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.83%12.5%2026-10-10 23:15
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 44.63%1.08I 92.59%NM 55.37%67.2%2026-10-11 01:08