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Clara Tauson v Marie Bouzkova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Clara Tauson (Local)
Prediction 32.55%3.07fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.40%32.60%32.56%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.903.0036.36%34.75%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marie Bouzkova (Visit)
Prediction 67.45%1.48fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -6.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.40%67.44%68.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.411.4474.07%70.95%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clara Tauson (Local): 32.55%; Marie Bouzkova (Visit): 67.45%. For Clara Tauson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -2.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.34%E -0.779%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.55%E -2.48%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-12 04:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.34%E -0.779%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 04:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.34%E -0.779%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 04:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.65%EV -3.31%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.35%EV -2.88%E -2.00%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 04:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.55%E -2.48%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.23%E -2.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 21:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 04:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 01:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.96%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.95%E -6.63%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.29%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 03:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.29%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 04:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -4.62%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.23%E -2.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 03:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -4.62%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.23%E -2.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 03:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.62%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV -5.27%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -4.23%E -2.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 04:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.23%E -2.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 04:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 04:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 04:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 04:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.93%E -5.02%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.90%E -3.48%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 04:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 04:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.22%E -2.53%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-12 01:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -7.55%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -2.88%E -2.00%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 02:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -8.52%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -2.88%E -2.00%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 04:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.88%E -2.00%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 02:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.23%E -2.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.58%E -3.98%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 03:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.27%E -6.08%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 08:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.27%E -6.08%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 08:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -8.85%E -3.16%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -8.95%E -6.63%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.88%E -2.00%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.88%E -2.00%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.88%E -2.00%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.88%E -2.00%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.88%E -2.00%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.23%E -2.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.23%E -2.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 21:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.47%E -3.81%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -7.60%E -5.55%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 01:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49% | 1.4% | 2026-10-12 04:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 2.2% | 2026-10-12 04:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 2.7% | 2026-10-12 04:45 |