Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Belinda Bencic v Shuai Zhang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Belinda Bencic (Local)
Prediction 79.11%1.26fair odd
EV +28.16%
Edge +17.38%
Kelly +45.41%
Growth +12.79%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.70%79.06%79.31%80.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.201.6286.96%83.03%83.33%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shuai Zhang (Visit)
Prediction 20.89%4.79fair odd
EV +0.907%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.237%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%20.94%20.69%40.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.404.454.604.8341.67%22.45%21.74%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belinda Bencic (Local): 79.11%; Shuai Zhang (Visit): 20.89%. For Belinda Bencic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV +28.16%E +17.38%K +45.41%G +12.79% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -49.86%E -20.77%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-12 21:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV -4.11%E -0.895%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -11.42%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 02:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -10.58%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 10:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -9.12%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.907%E +0.188%K +0.237%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.907%E +0.188%K +0.237%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.764%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 11:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 09:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:58 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 05:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -2.85%E -0.614%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 09:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.94%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.764%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 10:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 12:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.44%E -6.36%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.90%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 07:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.44%E -6.36%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -16.43%E -4.11%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 11:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -8.23%E -7.10%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -19.57%E -5.08%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 11:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.03%E -7.85%K -60.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -10.17%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 13:54 |