Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka v Ann Li

2026-10-14 11:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 84.38%1.19cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -3.34%
Kelly -27.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.80%84.28%84.33%85.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.091.121.121.1491.74%89.14%89.29%87.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ann Li (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.62%6.40cote équitable
EV +6.22%
Avantage +0.914%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 6.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.03%15.72%15.67%18.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.905.845.656.8020.41%17.12%17.70%14.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 84.38% ; Ann Li (Visiteur) : 15.62%. Pour Ann Li (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.40. 6 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.80, pour une espérance positive de +6.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +6.22%E +0.914%K +1.07%G +0.067%4.8%2026-10-13 12:44
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +4.65%E +0.695%K +0.816%G +0.038%5.0%2026-10-13 12:45
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.5%2026-10-13 12:19
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.5%2026-10-13 12:19
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%5.5%2026-10-13 12:05
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.18%E -6.53%K -71.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.53%E +0.235%K +0.278%G +0.004%6.3%2026-10-13 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 12:24
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.032%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 13:24
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.65%E -4.12%K -35.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.38%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-13 12:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.38%E -0.380%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -3.16%E -0.509%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 12:19
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -3.16%E -0.509%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 12:44
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -3.16%E -0.509%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 12:44
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -3.94%E -0.640%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-13 13:44
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 11:59
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 12:24
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 13:14
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.28%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-13 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.16%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.84%EV -7.06%E -1.19%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.19%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 12:40
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -10.19%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -10.19%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 13:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -7.18%E -6.53%K -71.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -10.97%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-13 12:35
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:40
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:40
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:40
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:39
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.81%E -3.34%K -27.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 11:39
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-13 12:25
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.34%E -5.71%K -57.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -12.53%E -2.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-13 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.65%E -4.12%K -35.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 13:10
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.65%E -4.12%K -35.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 13:10
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 12:48
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.49%E -4.91%K -45.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.09%E -2.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -7.18%E -6.53%K -71.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -18.78%E -3.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-13 12:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -7.18%E -6.53%K -71.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -18.78%E -3.61%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-13 12:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.26%EV -7.18%E -6.53%K -71.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -20.34%E -3.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-13 11:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.80%EV -8.03%E -7.36%K -89.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -23.46%E -4.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-13 12:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-10-13 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%4.4%2026-10-13 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%4.4%2026-10-13 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%4.4%2026-10-13 13:05