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Ann Li v Qinwen Zheng
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ann Li (Local)
Prediction 30.91%3.24fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +0.604%
Kelly +0.866%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%31.03%30.86%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.29%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qinwen Zheng (Visit)
Prediction 69.09%1.45fair odd
EV -0.505%
Edge -0.351%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%68.97%69.14%71.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.85%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 30.91%; Qinwen Zheng (Visit): 69.09%. For Ann Li (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.99%E +0.604%K +0.866%G +0.017% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.72%E -4.98%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-12 01:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV +1.68%E +0.511%K +0.735%G +0.012% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -7.41%E -5.53%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.446%E +0.137%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.11%E -6.09%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 01:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%EV -0.172%E -0.053%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-12 01:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.10%E -0.343%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.34%E -3.90%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 00:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -1.10%E -0.343%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.18%E -7.83%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-12 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.64%E -0.839%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.64%E -0.839%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 00:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.64%E -0.839%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.95%E -0.941%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.95%E -0.941%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 04:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.12%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 04:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.34%E -3.90%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.72%E -4.98%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 00:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 04:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.34%E -3.90%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 04:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 18:43 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.41%E -5.53%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 02:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.09%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 07:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.09%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.09%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.09%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.09%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.09%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -8.21%E -2.76%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 04:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 04:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.89%E -1.33%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 23:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:16 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 04:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.58%E -1.83%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 21:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -8.80%E -6.66%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-12 00:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.49%EV -11.92%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.51%EV -9.49%E -7.24%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-12 00:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.46%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.13%EV -9.49%E -7.24%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-12 00:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.505%E -0.351%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 05:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.03%E -4.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-10-12 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-10-12 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-10-12 02:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06% | 2.0% | 2026-10-12 06:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 06:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68% | 7.9% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |