The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ann Li v Iga Swiatek

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC

Final: Ann Li 0–2 Iga Swiatek

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ann Li (Local)

Prediction 22.49%4.45fair odd
EV +3.43%
Edge +0.747%
Kelly +0.954%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%22.54%22.33%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.154.254.6027.03%24.10%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Visit)

Prediction 77.51%1.29fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -8.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.60%77.46%77.67%79.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.221.2684.75%81.57%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 22.49%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 77.51%. For Ann Li (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +3.43%E +0.747%K +0.954%G +0.033%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.98%E -5.82%K -34.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 09:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +1.19%E +0.264%K +0.339%G +0.004%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.66%E -3.79%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-16 10:54
Pinnacle🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.89%EV +0.287%E +0.064%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.11%EV -3.11%E -2.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-16 10:55
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.06%E -0.241%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 06:40
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.64%E -0.609%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 10:54
1xBet🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV -2.86%E -0.662%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -4.66%E -3.79%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.31%E -0.770%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 10:55
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.31%E -0.770%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 10:55
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.31%E -0.770%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 10:55
ReBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.31%E -0.770%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -3.31%E -0.770%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.76%E -6.52%K -40.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -3.99%E -0.933%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.66%E -3.79%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 10:55
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.88%E -3.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 10:55
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 07:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
Casumo🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
Bally Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
ATG (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 03:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -4.66%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -3.88%E -3.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 10:55
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.66%E -3.79%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 06:45
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.21%E -5.13%K -29.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 10:55
FanDuel🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.88%E -3.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 06:44
LeoVegas🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.68%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 10:55
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.88%E -3.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:55
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.88%E -3.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:55
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.88%E -3.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.66%E -3.79%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-16 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.81%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 08:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -8.93%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.66%E -3.79%K -20.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -8.93%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -7.76%E -6.52%K -40.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 10:55
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.11%E -2.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:49
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.11%E -2.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.11%E -2.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.11%E -2.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 10:50
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.88%E -3.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 10:50
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 06:40
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 10:54
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.06%E -2.51%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.53%E -7.23%K -47.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-16 03:45
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.31%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.31%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.68%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.11%E -2.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 06:45
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -15.68%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -3.88%E -3.13%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 10:55
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.68%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 10:53
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -15.68%E -4.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 10:53
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -16.80%E -4.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -2.33%E -1.85%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -16.80%E -4.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -2.33%E -1.85%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-10-16 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-10-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-10-16 10:55
ProphetX◎4.45I 22.47%NM 22.34%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.66%0.6%2026-10-16 10:50
Novig◎4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%1.3%2026-10-16 10:50
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-10-16 10:55