Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 1.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anhelina Kalinina (Local): 39.30%; Sonay Kartal (Visit): 60.70%. For Anhelina Kalinina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.215%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.215%E +0.084%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 03:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV +0.215%E +0.084%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -12.59%E -8.74%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.36%E -0.541%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.75%E -0.700%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.54%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.88%E -1.80%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-12 02:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.93%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 02:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.93%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -2.93%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.95%E -5.97%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-12 02:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 03:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 03:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.72%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.50%E -1.85%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.89%E -2.02%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.67%E -1.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.89%E -2.02%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.67%E -1.03%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.89%E -2.02%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 02:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.49%E -2.19%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 02:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 02:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 03:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.31%E -3.40%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.52%E -4.24%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.68%E -2.37%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.09%E -2.59%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 08:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 08:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 08:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 16:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 13:57 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.47%E -2.72%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.86%E -2.89%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 10:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.86%E -2.89%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.13%E -4.66%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.65%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.65%E -3.25%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.70%E -2.99%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 21:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.61%E -4.18%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.91%E -3.82%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -10.40%E -4.56%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -8.34%E -5.53%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 14:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-12 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-12 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10% | 1.5% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.4% | 2026-10-12 03:05 |