Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yeonwoo Ku v Teodora Kostovic

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 15:22 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yeonwoo Ku (Local)

Prediction 49.86%2.01fair odd

EV +11.69%

Edge +5.22%

Kelly +9.43%

Growth +1.10%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.41%49.86%53.25%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.752.002.002.2457.14%50.06%50.00%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Teodora Kostovic (Visit)

Prediction 50.14%1.99fair odd

EV +2.79%

Edge +1.36%

Kelly +2.65%

Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.67%50.14%46.75%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.621.841.842.0561.73%54.35%54.20%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yeonwoo Ku (Local): 49.86%; Teodora Kostovic (Visit): 50.14%. For Yeonwoo Ku (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +11.69%E +5.22%K +9.43%G +1.10%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -15.26%E -9.03%K -22.12%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-23 15:20
Paddy Power🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +9.69%E +4.41%K +8.08%G +0.783%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -18.77%E -11.59%K -30.28%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-23 15:20
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +2.79%E +1.36%K +2.65%G +0.074%	4.3%	2026-06-23 15:19
BoyleSports🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -12.74%E -7.28%K -16.99%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +0.278%E +0.139%K +0.278%G +0.001%	7.1%	2026-06-23 15:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%	1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%	1.1%	2026-06-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%	1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%	1.1%	2026-06-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%	7.8%	2026-06-23 15:20