The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Xiyu Wang v Marina Bassols Ribera

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xiyu Wang (Local)

Prediction 82.70%1.21fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -13.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.26%82.48%82.70%83.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.131.1889.29%87.72%88.11%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marina Bassols Ribera (Visit)

Prediction 17.30%5.78fair odd
EV +0.161%
Edge +0.028%
Kelly +0.034%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.92%17.52%17.30%18.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.355.455.7920.41%18.70%18.35%17.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xiyu Wang (Local): 82.70%; Marina Bassols Ribera (Visit): 17.30%. For Marina Bassols Ribera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.161%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 83.07%EV -2.41%E -2.04%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.93%EV +0.161%E +0.028%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-24 17:50
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.26%K -32.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.86%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.72%E -5.02%K -40.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.86%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 17:46
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.37%E -6.58%K -61.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.86%E -0.883%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.55%E -5.79%K -50.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.59%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.12%EV -6.55%E -5.79%K -50.37%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 17.88%EV -10.22%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.72%E -5.02%K -40.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.51%E -2.70%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-24 17:49
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -6.55%E -5.79%K -50.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.23%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-24 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-06-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-06-24 17:50
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-06-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%2.4%2026-06-24 17:50
Smarkets◎1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%6.9%2026-06-24 17:50