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Xiyu Wang v Guo Hanyu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Xiyu Wang (Local)
assuming max odds 1.42
Guo Hanyu (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.18
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xiyu Wang (Local): 69.03%; Guo Hanyu (Visit): 30.97%. For Guo Hanyu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.18, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.98%E -1.40%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.72%E -4.11%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.36%E -2.40%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-23 05:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -4.74%E -3.44%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -1.81%E -0.572%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.12%E -4.50%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -1.50%E -0.473%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.53%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.57%EV -8.20%E -6.16%K -24.83%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.43%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.89%E -6.73%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 10:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | -0.1% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |