The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Varvara Lepchenko v Anastasia Gasanova

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Varvara Lepchenko (Local)

Prediction 48.53%2.06fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.69%48.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.932.0054.64%51.73%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anastasia Gasanova (Visit)

Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -5.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.31%51.52%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.821.831.8556.50%54.90%54.64%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Varvara Lepchenko (Local): 48.53%; Anastasia Gasanova (Visit): 51.47%. For Varvara Lepchenko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -2.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 12:30
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 12:30
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 12:30
ReBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.89%E -2.49%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 12:29
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 12:30
NordicBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.34%E -3.29%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 12:30
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 12:30
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.80%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -6.83%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 12:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.80%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -7.80%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 12:30
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.19%E -6.12%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-23 12:30
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-06-23 12:30