Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tyra Caterina Grant v Taylah Preston

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tyra Caterina Grant (Local)

Prediction 39.86%2.51fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%40.29%39.90%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.372.4445.45%42.55%42.28%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylah Preston (Visit)

Prediction 60.14%1.66fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.71%60.10%60.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6267.57%64.00%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tyra Caterina Grant (Local): 39.86%; Taylah Preston (Visit): 60.14%. For Taylah Preston (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -2.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.38%E -2.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 07:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.34%E -1.81%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.77%E -2.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 07:39
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.34%E -1.81%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:19
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.14%E -2.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.18%E -3.96%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 07:09
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.14%E -2.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 03:28
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.17%E -1.97%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 03:29
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -5.93%E -2.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -6.18%E -3.96%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 06:19
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.33%E -2.69%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.18%E -3.96%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 06:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.33%E -2.69%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 07:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -7.53%E -3.24%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -7.38%E -4.79%K -13.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 06:18
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.32%E -4.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-23 06:18
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.31%E -5.60%K -10.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.57%E -1.59%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 06:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-06-23 07:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-06-23 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-06-23 07:40
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%3.5%2026-06-23 07:40