Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tiantsoa Sarah Rajaonah v Lin Zhu

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tiantsoa Sarah Rajaonah (Local)

Prediction 18.56%5.39fair odd
EV +48.51%
Edge +6.06%
Kelly +6.93%
Growth +3.36%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%18.95%15.73%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.305.004.668.0030.30%20.02%21.46%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lin Zhu (Visit)

Prediction 81.44%1.23fair odd
EV +9.13%
Edge +6.81%
Kelly +26.84%
Growth +2.45%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.05%81.05%84.27%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.201.191.3492.59%83.39%83.68%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tiantsoa Sarah Rajaonah (Local): 18.56%; Lin Zhu (Visit): 81.44%. For Tiantsoa Sarah Rajaonah (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.39. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +48.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +48.51%E +6.06%K +6.93%G +3.36%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -12.05%E -11.16%K -150.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 15:29
theScore Bet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +34.58%E +4.77%K +5.53%G +1.91%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -12.05%E -11.16%K -150.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 15:30
NordicBet🎯6.34I 15.77%NM 14.56%EV +17.69%E +2.79%K +3.31%G +0.586%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.44%EV -12.05%E -11.16%K -150.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-24 15:30
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +11.38%E +1.90%K +2.28%G +0.259%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.79%E -7.85%K -73.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 15:30
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +11.38%E +1.90%K +2.28%G +0.259%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -10.42%E -9.47%K -104.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-24 15:30
MyBookie.ag🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +6.74%E +1.17%K +1.42%G +0.096%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.16%E -6.28%K -51.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 15:30
Pinnacle🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%EV -33.73%E -9.45%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%EV +7.50%E +5.68%K +23.43%G +1.76%3.8%2026-06-24 15:21
GTbets🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -34.29%E -9.69%K -13.50%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV +9.13%E +6.81%K +26.84%G +2.45%2.9%2026-06-24 08:40
ReBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -35.96%E -10.42%K -14.68%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +5.87%E +4.51%K +19.56%G +1.15%5.9%2026-06-24 14:50
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -36.89%E -10.85%K -15.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +5.87%E +4.51%K +19.56%G +1.15%6.3%2026-06-24 15:17
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -37.81%E -11.29%K -16.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV +1.80%E +1.44%K +7.18%G +0.129%9.9%2026-06-24 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -38.74%E -11.74%K -16.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV +4.24%E +3.31%K +15.14%G +0.642%8.4%2026-06-24 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX8.30I 12.05%NM 11.80%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.20%2.1%2026-06-24 15:30
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%4.8%2026-06-24 15:30