L’École des cotes

Tereza Valentova v Karolina Pliskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tereza Valentova (Local)

Prévision 42.20%2.37cote équitable
EV +2.54%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.78%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%42.27%42.23%44.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.202.4347.62%44.98%45.45%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karolina Pliskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.80%1.73cote équitable
EV -0.001%
Avantage -0.001%
Kelly -0.001%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.41%57.73%57.77%60.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.661.661.7363.29%60.38%60.24%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV +2.54%E +1.04%K +1.78%G +0.045%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -8.09%E -5.09%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:48
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.68%E -0.721%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 09:50
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.10%E -0.906%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 09:49
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 06:39
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:09
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:39
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 08:50
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 07:29
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -0.579%E -0.337%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-30 09:09
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 08:49
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 08:59
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 08:59
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:50
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 06:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 06:29
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:49
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 06:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 06:29
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 06:39
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 09:49
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 06:09
MyBookie.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.90%E -2.65%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:00
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:49
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 08:49
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 08:49
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.74%E -3.05%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 08:49
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 00:39
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:49
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:19
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 00:39
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 04:59
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 00:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 06:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.94%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 06:18
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 06:29
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.59%E -3.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:50
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:40
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.43%E -3.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 00:39
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 00:39
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -0.001%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 17:09
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 00:39
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 09:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-30 09:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-30 09:50
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-06-30 09:50
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-06-30 09:39
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-06-30 09:50