La escuela de los momios

Tereza Valentova v Karolina Pliskova

Inicio: 2026-06-30 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tereza Valentova (Local)

Predicción 42.20%2.37momio equitativo
EV +2.54%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%42.27%42.23%44.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.202.4347.62%44.98%45.45%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Karolina Pliskova (Visitante)

Predicción 57.80%1.73momio equitativo
EV -0.001%
Ventaja -0.001%
Kelly -0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.41%57.73%57.77%60.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.661.661.7363.29%60.38%60.24%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV +2.54%E +1.04%K +1.78%G +0.045%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -8.09%E -5.09%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:48
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.68%E -0.721%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 09:50
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.10%E -0.906%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 09:49
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-30 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 06:39
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:09
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 09:39
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 08:50
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 07:29
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -0.579%E -0.337%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-30 09:09
ReBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 08:49
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 08:59
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 08:59
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:50
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 06:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 06:29
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:49
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 06:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 06:29
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 06:39
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 09:49
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 06:09
MyBookie.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.90%E -2.65%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:00
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:49
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 08:49
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 08:49
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -6.74%E -3.05%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 08:49
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 00:39
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 09:49
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:19
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 00:39
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 04:59
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 00:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 06:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 06:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.94%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 06:18
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 06:29
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.59%E -3.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 09:50
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:39
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.01%E -3.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 00:40
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.43%E -3.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 00:39
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 00:39
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -0.001%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 17:09
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 00:39
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 09:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-30 09:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-06-30 09:50
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-06-30 09:50
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%1.5%2026-06-30 09:39
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-06-30 09:50