Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tatjana Maria v Iva Jović

Kickoff: 2026-07-01 15:54 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tatjana Maria (Local)

Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV -0.327%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.155%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.34%32.06%32.03%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.953.1136.36%34.01%33.90%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iva Jović (Visit)

Prediction 67.95%1.47fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -6.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%67.94%67.97%69.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.77%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tatjana Maria (Local): 32.05%; Iva Jović (Visit): 67.95%. For Tatjana Maria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.11, with an expected value of -0.327%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -0.327%E -0.105%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 15:50
SportsBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -0.327%E -0.105%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 15:50
Pinnacle🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -0.647%E -0.209%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-01 15:50
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.647%E -0.209%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.647%E -0.209%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.27%E -6.12%K -23.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 15:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 15:48
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.25%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 15:39
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 15:40
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 15:49
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 15:40
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 15:40
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 15:38
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 15:40
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:39
GTbets🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.91%E -5.04%K -18.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 15:40
DraftKings🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -4.81%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:39
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 15:48
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -6.42%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.91%E -5.04%K -18.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.33%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.67%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 15:50
Betsson🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.33%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.67%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:40
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:50
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:39
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:38
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:39
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 15:49
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 15:50
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 15:44
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.23%E -4.51%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 15:40
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.34%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 15:40
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 15:40
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.27%E -6.12%K -23.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.26%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 15:50
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 15:44
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-07-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-07-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-07-01 15:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-07-01 15:50
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%2.4%2026-07-01 15:50
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.3%2026-07-01 15:50