Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 2.63
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Storm Hunter (Local): 63.22%; Sofia Costoulas (Visit): 36.78%. For Storm Hunter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.55, with an expected value of -2.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.00%E -1.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.90%E -4.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.90%E -2.57%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.28%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.53%E -3.00%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.06%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.16%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.16%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.38%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 12:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.16%E -3.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.47%E -5.24%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.43%E -4.34%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.06%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -7.06%E -4.80%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -5.12%E -1.98%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.69%E -5.27%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.32%E -2.91%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.69%E -5.27%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.06%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.33%E -5.74%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.06%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.96%E -6.22%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.65%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20% | 2.2% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |