Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebecca Sramkova v Viktoria Hruncakova

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebecca Sramkova (Local)

Prediction 60.31%1.66fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.95%60.10%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.571.561.6264.94%63.73%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Viktoria Hruncakova (Visit)

Prediction 39.69%2.52fair odd
EV -0.764%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.509%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.05%39.90%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.362.5045.45%42.25%42.37%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebecca Sramkova (Local): 60.31%; Viktoria Hruncakova (Visit): 39.69%. For Viktoria Hruncakova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.764%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 03:29
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 12:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 03:29
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.56%E -0.628%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 12:30
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.92%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.764%E -0.306%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 03:29
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.92%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -5.92%E -2.50%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.92%E -3.80%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 03:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.81%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.19%EV -5.13%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 10:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -7.51%E -3.22%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 03:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-06-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-06-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-06-23 15:20
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-06-23 15:20