The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rebecca Sramkova v Teodora Kostovic

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebecca Sramkova (Local)

Prediction 74.77%1.34fair odd
EV -0.553%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%74.78%74.77%78.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.291.3381.97%78.13%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Teodora Kostovic (Visit)

Prediction 25.23%3.96fair odd
EV +12.77%
Edge +2.86%
Kelly +3.68%
Growth +0.470%

assuming max odds 4.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.72%25.22%25.23%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.523.384.4733.33%28.40%29.63%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebecca Sramkova (Local): 74.77%; Teodora Kostovic (Visit): 25.23%. For Teodora Kostovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.28%EV -7.28%E -5.87%K -30.34%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.72%EV +12.77%E +2.86%K +3.68%G +0.470%3.0%2026-06-24 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.78%E -7.19%K -39.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.910%E +0.227%K +0.303%G +0.003%7.0%2026-06-24 17:30
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.80%E -2.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-24 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.79%E -4.59%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.70%E -3.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-24 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -2.05%E -1.56%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -18.01%E -5.54%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 17:50
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -4.29%E -3.35%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -18.01%E -5.54%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-24 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -2.80%E -2.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -19.27%E -6.02%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 17:46
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -0.553%E -0.415%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -24.32%E -8.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-06-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-06-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-06-24 17:50
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-06-24 17:50