Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Polina Kudermetova v Liudmila Samsonova

Początek: 2026-06-30 18:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Polina Kudermetova (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.99%2.63kurs godziwy
EV +0.672%
Przewaga +0.254%
Kelly +0.407%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.37%37.96%37.90%40.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.322.452.452.6543.10%40.77%40.82%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Liudmila Samsonova (Goście)

Prognoza 62.01%1.61kurs godziwy
EV -0.783%
Przewaga -0.489%
Kelly -1.30%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.49%62.04%62.10%64.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.541.541.6068.97%65.05%64.94%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Polina Kudermetova (Gospodarze): 37.99%; Liudmila Samsonova (Goście): 62.01%. Dla wyniku Polina Kudermetova (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.63. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.65, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.672%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +0.672%E +0.254%K +0.407%G +0.003%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -10.08%E -6.95%K -22.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.23%E -0.472%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.98%E -4.66%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
DraftKings🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -1.99%E -0.770%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -7.60%E -5.10%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 17:09
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.98%E -4.66%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.74%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:09
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.65%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.40%E -0.882%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 17:09
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 16:59
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.74%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.74%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:58
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.79%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.36%E -4.21%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.79%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.36%E -4.21%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -6.17%E -2.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:09
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 17:09
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 17:07
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.46%E -6.48%K -20.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 17:07
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.02%E -1.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:07
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.22%E -5.56%K -17.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 17:09
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.64%E -1.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.783%E -0.489%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.02%E -1.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 17:10
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -11.48%E -4.93%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.36%E -4.21%K -12.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -11.86%E -5.11%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -6.36%E -4.21%K -12.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 17:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-06-30 17:10
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-06-30 17:10
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%3.2%2026-06-30 17:09