L’École des cotes

Polina Kudermetova v Liudmila Samsonova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Prévision 37.99%2.63cote équitable
EV +0.672%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.407%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.37%37.96%37.90%40.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.452.452.6543.10%40.77%40.82%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.01%1.61cote équitable
EV -0.783%
Avantage -0.489%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.49%62.04%62.10%64.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.541.541.6068.97%65.05%64.94%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +0.672%E +0.254%K +0.407%G +0.003%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -10.08%E -6.95%K -22.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.23%E -0.472%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.98%E -4.66%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
DraftKings2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -1.99%E -0.770%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -7.60%E -5.10%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 17:09
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 16:59
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 17:10
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 17:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.98%E -4.66%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 17:09
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 17:10
SportsBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.51%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.74%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 17:09
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.65%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 17:04
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.40%E -0.882%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 17:09
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 16:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 17:10
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.74%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.03%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.74%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:58
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.79%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.36%E -4.21%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -5.79%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.36%E -4.21%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -6.17%E -2.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:09
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 17:09
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 17:09
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 17:07
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 17:09
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.93%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -9.46%E -6.48%K -20.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 17:07
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.02%E -1.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:07
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:10
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.26%E -2.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 17:09
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.83%E -3.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.22%E -5.56%K -17.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 17:09
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.64%E -1.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -3.88%E -2.51%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 17:09
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.59%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.12%E -3.35%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 17:09
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.783%E -0.489%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 17:09
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.02%E -1.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 17:09
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 17:09
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 17:09
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.50%E -2.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 17:10
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -11.48%E -4.93%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.36%E -4.21%K -12.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -11.86%E -5.11%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -6.36%E -4.21%K -12.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 17:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-06-30 17:10
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-06-30 17:10
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-06-30 17:10
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%3.2%2026-06-30 17:09