The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Polina Kudermetova v Clervie Ngounoue

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Prediction 85.53%1.17fair odd
EV +1.78%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +9.35%
Growth +0.166%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.90%85.28%85.53%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.101.1992.59%89.49%90.91%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clervie Ngounoue (Visit)

Prediction 14.47%6.91fair odd
EV +15.79%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +2.26%
Growth +0.356%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%14.72%14.47%18.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.156.018.0019.05%16.27%16.64%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 85.53%; Clervie Ngounoue (Visit): 14.47%. For Clervie Ngounoue (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.63%E -7.07%K -95.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +15.79%E +1.97%K +2.26%G +0.356%5.1%2026-06-24 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.92%E -0.911%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.92%E -0.911%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 17:50
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -6.78%E -6.22%K -75.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -11.71%E -1.92%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.33%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.21%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.67%EV -14.32%E -2.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%EV +1.78%E +1.49%K +9.35%G +0.166%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%EV -21.84%E -4.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-24 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -0.789%E -0.681%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -24.01%E -4.57%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-06-24 17:50
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-06-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-06-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%3.8%2026-06-24 17:50