The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Polina Kudermetova v Alina Charaeva

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Prediction 54.48%1.84fair odd
EV -0.298%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.359%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%54.06%54.52%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.741.8360.61%57.47%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alina Charaeva (Visit)

Prediction 45.52%2.20fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.778%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.94%45.48%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1652.36%48.95%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 54.48%; Alina Charaeva (Visit): 45.52%. For Polina Kudermetova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.298%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.298%E -0.163%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.06%E -6.84%K -14.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 12:09
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -2.48%E -1.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -7.14%E -3.50%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 12:09
ReBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.02%E -1.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 12:09
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.11%E -2.34%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.05%E -3.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-25 12:10
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.68%E -0.778%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-25 12:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.69%E -3.26%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-25 12:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -9.87%E -4.99%K -10.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -9.42%E -4.73%K -9.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-25 12:08
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.29%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.23%E -3.03%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 12:07
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -10.11%E -6.12%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-25 12:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-25 12:10
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-25 12:10
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-25 12:10