The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Polina Iatcenko v Leyre Romero Gormaz

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Iatcenko (Local)

Prediction 61.54%1.62fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -5.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%61.11%61.73%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.521.5766.67%65.40%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyre Romero Gormaz (Visit)

Prediction 38.46%2.60fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%38.89%38.27%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.422.5344.44%41.32%41.32%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Polina Iatcenko (Local): 61.54%; Leyre Romero Gormaz (Visit): 38.46%. For Leyre Romero Gormaz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.53, with an expected value of -2.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.38%E -2.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -13.47%E -5.99%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 03:29
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.99%E -2.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.70%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 12:30
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.61%E -2.97%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 03:29
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.23%E -3.39%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 03:28
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.46%E -4.25%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 03:29
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.46%E -4.25%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.93%E -2.86%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 03:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.46%E -4.25%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.62%E -4.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 10:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.07%E -4.68%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 03:28
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 03:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.62%E -4.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-23 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-23 12:30
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-06-23 12:30