L’École des cotes

Oleksandra Oliynykova v McCartney Kessler

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)

Prévision 16.49%6.06cote équitable
EV +7.17%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.094%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.70%16.52%16.52%20.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.625.506.5022.22%17.80%18.18%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

McCartney Kessler (Visiteur)

Prévision 83.51%1.20cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -13.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.37%83.48%83.48%85.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.131.131.1792.59%88.45%88.11%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.17%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.094%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Fanatics6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +3.88%E +0.615%K +0.731%G +0.028%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:00
DraftKings6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:00
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -0.246%E -0.041%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 16:55
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:00
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 16:59
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:01
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:00
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:00
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.14%E -7.40%K -81.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 17:00
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.97%E -8.23%K -99.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-29 17:00
Fliff6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.97%E -8.23%K -99.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-29 17:00
BetOnline.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -4.37%E -0.753%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.13%E -2.70%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 17:00
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.37%E -0.753%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 16:52
Pinnacle5.77I 17.33%NM 16.62%EV -4.86%E -0.843%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.38%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:01
NordicBet5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV -4.86%E -0.843%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -8.14%E -7.40%K -81.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:00
GTbets5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:55
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:00
PMU (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:00
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:00
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:00
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -8.14%E -7.40%K -81.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 17:00
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -6.02%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -9.81%E -9.08%K -122.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-29 17:00
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -7.67%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:00
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -7.67%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -8.14%E -7.40%K -81.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 17:00
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:59
Dabble (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:57
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:57
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:54
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:57
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:55
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:58
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:00
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:56
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:59
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:58
Betsson5.42I 18.45%NM 17.13%EV -10.63%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.87%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.96%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:55
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.96%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:55
SportsBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -12.61%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.13%E -2.70%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:00
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.44%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:00
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -13.44%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:00
Bally Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -13.44%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:01
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -14.26%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.29%E -1.96%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -14.26%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.13%E -2.70%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:58
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -15.91%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.56%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.29%E -1.96%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.56%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -25.80%E -5.73%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -2.29%E -1.96%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:01
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -25.80%E -5.73%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -2.29%E -1.96%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-06-29 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-06-29 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%2.3%2026-06-29 17:00
ProphetX5.45I 18.35%NM 17.55%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.45%4.6%2026-06-29 17:01
Novig5.41I 18.48%NM 17.40%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.60%6.2%2026-06-29 17:01