La escuela de los momios

Oleksandra Oliynykova v McCartney Kessler

Inicio: 2026-06-29 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)

Predicción 16.49%6.06momio equitativo
EV +7.17%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.094%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%16.52%16.52%20.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.625.506.5022.22%17.80%18.18%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

McCartney Kessler (Visitante)

Predicción 83.51%1.20momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -13.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.37%83.48%83.48%85.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.131.131.1792.59%88.45%88.11%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.17%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.094%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Fanatics6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV +3.88%E +0.615%K +0.731%G +0.028%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:00
DraftKings6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 17:00
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -0.246%E -0.041%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 16:55
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:00
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 16:59
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:01
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:00
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:00
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:00
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.14%E -7.40%K -81.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 17:00
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.97%E -8.23%K -99.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-29 17:00
Fliff6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.07%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.97%E -8.23%K -99.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-29 17:00
BetOnline.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -4.37%E -0.753%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.13%E -2.70%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-29 17:00
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.37%E -0.753%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 16:52
Pinnacle5.77I 17.33%NM 16.62%EV -4.86%E -0.843%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.38%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 17:01
NordicBet5.77I 17.33%NM 16.01%EV -4.86%E -0.843%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.99%EV -8.14%E -7.40%K -81.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:00
GTbets5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:55
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:00
PMU (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:00
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:00
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:00
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -5.19%E -0.903%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -8.14%E -7.40%K -81.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 17:00
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -6.02%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -9.81%E -9.08%K -122.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-29 17:00
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -7.67%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:00
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -7.67%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -8.14%E -7.40%K -81.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 17:00
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:59
Dabble (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:57
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:57
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:54
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:57
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:55
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:00
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:58
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:00
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 16:56
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:59
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.31%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 16:58
Betsson5.42I 18.45%NM 17.13%EV -10.63%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.87%EV -6.47%E -5.77%K -53.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.96%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:55
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.96%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:55
SportsBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -12.61%E -2.38%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -3.13%E -2.70%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:00
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.44%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:00
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -13.44%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:00
Bally Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -13.44%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:01
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -14.26%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -2.29%E -1.96%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Marathon Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -14.26%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.13%E -2.70%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:58
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -15.91%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.30%E -6.58%K -66.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.56%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.29%E -1.96%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.56%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.80%E -4.21%K -34.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -25.80%E -5.73%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -2.29%E -1.96%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:01
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -25.80%E -5.73%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -2.29%E -1.96%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-06-29 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-06-29 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 17:00
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%2.3%2026-06-29 17:00
ProphetX5.45I 18.35%NM 17.55%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.45%4.6%2026-06-29 17:01
Novig5.41I 18.48%NM 17.40%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.60%6.2%2026-06-29 17:01