Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oceane Dodin v Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 11:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

32%

68%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oceane Dodin (Local)

Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd

EV +7.38%

Edge +2.20%

Kelly +3.14%

Growth +0.231%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.96%31.89%32.53%35.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.552.972.923.3539.22%33.66%34.19%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Visit)

Prediction 67.95%1.47fair odd

EV +0.563%

Edge +0.380%

Kelly +1.17%

Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.72%68.11%67.47%72.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.381.391.4877.52%72.69%71.94%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oceane Dodin (Local): 32.05%; Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Visit): 67.95%. For Oceane Dodin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +7.38%E +2.20%K +3.14%G +0.231%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -11.67%E -8.98%K -38.89%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-25 10:19
Betway🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +4.17%E +1.28%K +1.85%G +0.077%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-25 10:20
theScore Bet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +4.17%E +1.28%K +1.85%G +0.077%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -10.99%E -8.39%K -35.45%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-25 10:20
Paddy Power🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +2.57%E +0.802%K +1.17%G +0.030%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.67%E -8.98%K -38.89%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-25 10:19
Fliff🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +2.57%E +0.802%K +1.17%G +0.030%	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -12.35%E -9.57%K -42.58%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-06-25 10:19
NordicBet🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +0.965%E +0.306%K +0.449%G +0.004%	1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -10.99%E -8.39%K -35.45%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-25 10:20
Pinnacle🎯	2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -4.80%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-25 10:10
BoyleSports🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-25 10:20
GTbets🎯	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -9.93%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV +0.563%E +0.380%K +1.17%G +0.007%	3.2%	2026-06-25 09:59
ReBet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.25%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.48%E -1.02%K -3.28%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-25 09:59
Marathon Bet🎯	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.89%E -3.92%K -6.12%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.23%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-25 09:59
PlayUp🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.48%E -1.02%K -3.28%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-25 10:06
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -15.06%E -5.68%K -9.13%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.24%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-06-25 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -18.27%E -7.16%K -11.78%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.24%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-06-25 09:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%	1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%	0.6%	2026-06-25 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%	0.7%	2026-06-25 10:20
ProphetX◎	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%	1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%	2.0%	2026-06-25 10:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%	1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%	2.7%	2026-06-25 10:20
Smarkets◎	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%	5.8%	2026-06-25 10:20