The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nuria Brancaccio v Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nuria Brancaccio (Local)

Prediction 33.97%2.94fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.392%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.10%34.26%34.05%36.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.752.9140.00%36.50%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andrea Lazaro Garcia (Visit)

Prediction 66.03%1.51fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.45%65.74%65.95%66.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.421.4874.63%70.22%70.18%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nuria Brancaccio (Local): 33.97%; Andrea Lazaro Garcia (Visit): 66.03%. For Nuria Brancaccio (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.91, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.14%E -0.392%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 06:49
GTbets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -3.52%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.28%E -1.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-23 03:29
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.88%E -1.74%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 07:09
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 03:29
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.58%E -3.90%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 03:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 03:30
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.24%E -4.39%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 03:30
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 03:28
MyBookie.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.22%EV -7.93%E -2.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.78%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 03:28
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.27%E -3.06%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.26%E -2.94%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 03:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.42%EV -9.29%E -3.48%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.58%EV -11.52%E -8.60%K -33.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-23 07:29
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -15.07%E -6.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -4.92%E -3.42%K -11.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 03:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%1.8%2026-06-23 07:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%1.8%2026-06-23 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%1.8%2026-06-23 07:40
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%3.7%2026-06-23 07:40