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Mona Barthel v Lin Zhu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mona Barthel (Local)
assuming max odds 3.49
Lin Zhu (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.41
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mona Barthel (Local): 29.33%; Lin Zhu (Visit): 70.67%. For Mona Barthel (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +2.37%E +0.679%K +0.952%G +0.023% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.20%E -0.971%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 03:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.67%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.13%E -6.26%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.84%E -6.85%K -30.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV -0.359%E -0.254%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -8.78%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -10.24%E -3.35%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.70%EV -6.01%E -4.52%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-23 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.54%E -3.45%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -14.94%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.07%E -0.761%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.52%E -5.39%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.52%E -5.39%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -3.89%E -2.86%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |