La scuola delle quote

Marta Kostyuk v Linda Noskova

Inizio: 2026-07-09 15:53 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Casa)

Previsione 58.55%1.71quota equa
EV +3.62%
Vantaggio +2.05%
Kelly +4.71%
Crescita +0.171%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.91%58.32%58.37%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.621.621.7766.67%61.73%61.73%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Linda Noskova (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.45%2.41quota equa
EV +3.64%
Vantaggio +1.45%
Kelly +2.42%
Crescita +0.088%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%41.68%41.63%46.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.282.272.5048.78%43.82%44.05%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +3.62%E +2.05%K +4.71%G +0.171%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -14.19%E -6.85%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 15:29
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +2.45%E +1.40%K +3.27%G +0.080%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 15:49
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +0.698%E +0.406%K +0.969%G +0.007%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -15.02%E -7.33%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 15:50
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.64%E -0.979%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 15:19
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.23%E -1.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:49
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.23%E -1.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:43
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.48%E -2.40%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:19
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 15:20
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:29
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -9.21%E -4.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:49
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -9.21%E -4.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:49
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.99%E -2.43%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.90%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.99%E -2.43%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 15:49
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.99%E -2.43%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 15:19
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.508%E -0.212%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 15:24
Betr (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 15:45
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:50
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.56%E +0.639%K +1.08%G +0.017%2.5%2026-07-09 15:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.34%E -0.562%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 15:50
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:19
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:39
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:45
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:45
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:45
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.56%E +0.639%K +1.08%G +0.017%2.9%2026-07-09 15:49
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -0.923%E -0.386%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 15:29
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:48
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 15:49
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-09 15:49
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 15:49
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 15:45
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.508%E -0.212%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 15:50
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +0.321%E +0.133%K +0.226%G +0.001%4.6%2026-07-09 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 15:39
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-09 15:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -0.094%E -0.039%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.508%E -0.212%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 15:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.508%E -0.212%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 15:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.34%E -0.562%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:48
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.34%E -0.562%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 15:48
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 15:48
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 15:48
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -1.34%E -0.562%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.84%E -6.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-09 15:50
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -10.43%E -6.81%K -19.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-09 15:50
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.18%E -8.12%K -24.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.64%E +1.45%K +2.42%G +0.088%6.7%2026-07-09 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-07-09 15:50
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-09 15:50
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-07-09 15:50
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-07-09 15:50
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%4.3%2026-07-09 15:50