L’École des cotes

Marta Kostyuk v Linda Noskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-09 15:53 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 58.55%1.71cote équitable
EV +3.62%
Avantage +2.05%
Kelly +4.71%
Croissance +0.171%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.91%58.32%58.37%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.621.7766.67%61.73%61.73%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Linda Noskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.45%2.41cote équitable
EV +3.64%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +2.42%
Croissance +0.088%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%41.68%41.63%46.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.282.272.5048.78%43.82%44.05%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +3.62%E +2.05%K +4.71%G +0.171%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -14.19%E -6.85%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 15:29
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +2.45%E +1.40%K +3.27%G +0.080%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 15:49
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV +0.698%E +0.406%K +0.969%G +0.007%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -15.02%E -7.33%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 15:50
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.64%E -0.979%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 15:19
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.23%E -1.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:49
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.23%E -1.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:43
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.48%E -2.40%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:19
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.82%E -1.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:49
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 15:20
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 15:29
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -9.21%E -4.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:49
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -9.21%E -4.21%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 15:49
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.99%E -2.43%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.90%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:49
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.99%E -2.43%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 15:49
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.99%E -2.43%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 15:19
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.508%E -0.212%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 15:24
Betr (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 15:45
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.57%E -2.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.56%E -3.39%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:50
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.56%E +0.639%K +1.08%G +0.017%2.5%2026-07-09 15:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.34%E -0.562%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 15:50
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 15:19
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.24%E -1.84%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:39
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:45
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:45
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:45
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.16%E -3.18%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.56%E +0.639%K +1.08%G +0.017%2.9%2026-07-09 15:49
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -0.923%E -0.386%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 15:29
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.58%E -1.10%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 15:48
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-09 15:49
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-09 15:49
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 15:49
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 15:45
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.508%E -0.212%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 15:50
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +0.321%E +0.133%K +0.226%G +0.001%4.6%2026-07-09 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 15:39
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-09 15:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -0.094%E -0.039%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 15:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.508%E -0.212%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 15:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.508%E -0.212%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 15:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.34%E -0.562%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:48
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.34%E -0.562%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 15:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 15:48
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 15:48
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.65%E -2.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 15:48
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -1.34%E -0.562%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -9.84%E -6.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.94%E -6.16%K -11.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-09 15:50
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -10.43%E -6.81%K -19.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -3.82%E -1.65%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-09 15:50
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.18%E -8.12%K -24.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.64%E +1.45%K +2.42%G +0.088%6.7%2026-07-09 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-07-09 15:50
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-09 15:50
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-07-09 15:50
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-07-09 15:50
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%4.3%2026-07-09 15:50