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Marina Bassols Ribera v Robin Montgomery
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marina Bassols Ribera (Local)
assuming max odds 5.70
Robin Montgomery (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.27
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marina Bassols Ribera (Local): 20.21%; Robin Montgomery (Visit): 79.79%. For Marina Bassols Ribera (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +15.20%E +2.67%K +3.23%G +0.492% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -10.64%E -9.50%K -88.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV +14.19%E +2.51%K +3.05%G +0.433% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -12.23%E -11.12%K -122.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +1.05%E +0.211%K +0.264%G +0.003% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.85%E -4.96%K -32.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.05%E +0.211%K +0.264%G +0.003% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.04%E -7.93%K -64.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +1.05%E +0.211%K +0.264%G +0.003% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.04%E -7.93%K -64.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.54%EV -9.46%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.46%EV -1.86%E -1.51%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -1.06%E -0.856%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.44%E -6.42%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-25 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -17.14%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -2.66%E -2.18%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-25 14:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -19.96%E -5.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV +1.33%E +1.05%K +4.93%G +0.066% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 14:18 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -25.22%E -6.82%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -0.264%E -0.211%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 14:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.71%EV -26.43%E -7.26%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.29%EV +0.534%E +0.424%K +2.05%G +0.011% | 6.8% | 2026-06-25 14:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -28.66%E -8.12%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -0.264%E -0.211%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-25 14:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 0.3% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 14:20 |